
Written by
Jake Frazer
Published on
10 Jun 2026
3rd EDITION – June 2026
Over the past several years, I've had the opportunity to speak with hundreds of government and industry leaders across Defense, Homeland Security, Intelligence, and International Affairs. Every once in a while, a common theme emerges that is impossible to ignore.
That happened again during our Precision Experts Showcase in May.
We brought together 14 senior experts—former generals, SESs, ambassadors—for a series of candid discussions with executives from across the GovCon ecosystem. The attendees represented everything from Tribal 8(a)s and emerging AI firms to some of the largest government contractors in the market. While the conversations covered a wide range of topics, what struck me was how consistent the message was across all three panels.
The train is leaving the station.
That phrase came up repeatedly throughout the day, and it perfectly captures what many of these leaders are seeing from their vantage point.
In Defense, the message was clear: the United States is entering a period of significant investment driven by great power competition, modernization requirements, and growing global instability. The traditional acquisition timelines that have defined our industry for decades are viewed as incompatible with the speed of the threat. Government and military leaders are looking for ways to move faster, buy faster, and field capabilities faster.
In Homeland Security, funding bottlenecks are beginning to break loose. While border security remains a priority, the opportunities extend far beyond the border. Agencies such as the Coast Guard and FEMA are preparing for increased operational demands and modernization efforts as well.
Internationally, we are witnessing a historic shift in burden-sharing among allies while supply chain issues are blurring the lines between national and economic security. European and Gulf defense spending is on the rise, and industrial bases are reconfiguring for new technologies, partnerships, and threats.
The common denominators across all of these areas are speed and scale.
Government leaders are under pressure to deliver outcomes faster than ever before, and that is changing how requirements are developed, how acquisitions are structured, and how industry engages with customers. The old GovCon playbook built around long sales cycles and years-long procurement processes is being challenged by mission urgency.
For industry leaders, this creates tremendous opportunity—but also demands adaptation. Success over the next 24 months will require agility, innovation, and a new generation of business development and risk professionals who can operate at the speed of the mission.
I don't believe we're simply entering another government spending cycle. I believe we're at the beginning of a fundamental market shift that will reshape how government and industry work together for years to come.
The train is leaving the station. The question for all of us is whether we're onboard or prepared to keep up.
— Nancy Andrews, Paul Chamberlain, and Ryan Heritage
AI is no longer just an emerging capability; it is actively quickening operational tempo while shifting procurement priorities, cyber defense, and modernization planning. The challenge is no longer whether organizations can innovate, but whether innovation can scale fast enough to matter operationally.
— Ryan Heritage, Nancy Andrews, and Terri Borras
As acquisition complexity grows, government buyers increasingly prioritize trusted execution, mature cybersecurity, transparent communication, and predictable delivery. Panelists noted that AI adoption, software integration, and modernization efforts will increasingly depend on explainability, resilience, and operational trust.
— Nancy Andrews and Terri Borras
Modernization efforts are expanding the attack surface far beyond traditional platforms. Supply chains, software dependencies, production capacity, cloud environments, and supplier ecosystems are increasingly viewed as intelligence collection and disruption pathways for adversaries – from idea to fielded capability.
— Terri Borras
Panelists pointed toward growing opportunity areas in AI, Golden Dome, munitions, autonomous systems, cyber resilience, industrial base expansion, logistics, energy infrastructure, and modernization support. Companies capable of mitigating risk and scaling quickly while navigating regulatory complexity will be best positioned.
— Terri Boras, Paul Chamberlain, and Karen Baker
Governments increasingly view technology, energy, infrastructure, telecommunications, supply chains, critical minerals, and AI capabilities through a geopolitical lens. Companies that once treated government engagement as peripheral are now finding that national security considerations directly affect market access, financing, partnerships, and long-term competitiveness.
— Mark Simakovsky and Paul Morris
The era of optimizing supply chains purely for cost efficiency is over. Panelists emphasized that resilience, diversification, scenario planning, and operational continuity are becoming competitive differentiators in a world shaped by sanctions, export controls, geopolitical instability, and global disruptions.
— Paul Morris and John Moran
— Ciara Knudsen, Mark Simakovsky, and John Moran
Panelists highlighted growing opportunities tied to Ukraine’s economic recovery, infrastructure rebuilding, cybersecurity, AI, critical supply chains, and dual-use technologies. Development finance institutions and allied investment mechanisms are expected to play a major role in de-risking participation for industry.
— John Moran and Elizabeth Richard
Government relations and regulatory engagement are not enough for companies operating internationally. Businesses increasingly need insight into political and interagency dynamics, local stakeholder networks, sanctions environments, and implementation realities to anticipate risk and navigate uncertainty effectively.
— Elizabeth Richard, Mark Simakovsky, and Ciara Knudsen
Panelists emphasized that current funding flows, operational pressures, and mission demands are creating a rare window for proactive industry engagement across DHS and the broader federal law enforcement ecosystem.
— PJ Lechleitner, Mary Comans Dunne
While many contractors continue to associate DHS primarily with border and immigration enforcement operations, some of the largest emerging opportunities are in FEMA disaster response and broader operational coordination, cybersecurity, AI governance, critical infrastructure protection, and digital oversight across DHS agencies. _ — Mary Comans Dunne and Soribel Feliz _
The conversation around AI is shifting from experimentation toward governance, compliance, oversight, and explainability. Contractors that build AI governance fluency, cybersecurity integration, and operational trust into their offerings will have a significant competitive advantage as federal oversight evolves.
— Soribel Feliz
DHS and its operational components are simultaneously managing compressed timelines, workforce constraints, rising mission demands, and expanding operational complexity. Industry partners capable of scaling execution while reducing management burden and operational friction will be especially valuable. _ — Mary Comans Dunne _
The Homeland Security and federal law enforcement ecosystem operates differently from traditional defense environments. Panelists stressed the importance of understanding mission culture, operational priorities, and relationship networks in order to successfully navigate the DHS market.
— PJ Lechleitner and Charles Matlock
PJ Lechleitner Former Acting Director & Deputy Director, U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE)
HSI is one of the most underestimated agencies in the federal government. With 90+ offices across 50+ countries and over 400 statutory authorities, it is a global law enforcement organization by design — far broader than the domestic enforcement headlines suggest.
The surge in ICE funding is real, and it cannot be self-performed. Bed capacity has more than doubled toward a target of 100,000 — but ICE does not have the pilots, maintenance crews, or infrastructure capacity to run this alone. Healthcare, IT, logistics, and wraparound support all need industry. No single company can do it all.
Nontraditional contract vehicles are in play, for now. ICE is using whatever acquisition mechanisms it can to move fast, including broad vehicles like WEXMAC. Companies already positioned on those vehicles have a meaningful head start.
New entrants need to do their homework. Companies coming into DHS for the first time should partner with people who know the space — the compliance scrutiny will come, whether from a new administration or Congress.
The mission is not going away. This is a once-in-a-generation funding moment. Regardless of how elections shift priorities, the underlying mission has existed since 1789 and the support infrastructure built now will require continued investment well beyond this administration.
One word: Chaotic. Embrace it — those who can bring order to a chaotic environment will be best positioned for what comes next.
Defense & Military Defense modernization is moving toward faster acquisition, missile defense expansion, space-based sensing, AI-enabled systems, and industrial base scaling. Recent activity around SHIELD, SB-AMTI, and Army MAPS points to a market where speed, scale, and integration are becoming central competitive requirements.
Homeland Security DHS components continue to face rising mission demands across disaster response, immigration enforcement, border security, cybersecurity, and AI governance. FEMA, ICE, and CBP all reflect a growing need for contractors that can scale execution while reducing management burden.
DFC & Commerce Economic security is increasingly being treated as national security. DFC and Commerce activity around critical minerals, reconstruction, supply chain resilience, and strategic financing shows growing opportunity for firms operating at the intersection of capital, infrastructure, compliance, and geopolitical risk.
Aurore Jusufi, Marketing Specialist, Precision Talent Solutions
The name of the podcast says it all: The Future of GovCon. In an industry moving this fast, that is not a casual question.
What I have noticed over the past several months is that the guests who hit hardest are the ones who come with actual data and real directional insight on where things are heading. Not career highlights. Not talking points. Former generals, ambassadors, agency heads, and business executives – people who spent decades in rooms where those decisions were made, telling you plainly what they see coming next. That is the draw.
GovCon runs on information. The companies positioned to win over the next two to three years are not waiting for a solicitation to understand the landscape. They are finding ways to stay ahead of it. The podcast is one of those ways.
If you are a leader in this space and want to be part of the conversation, we are actively booking guests across defense, homeland security, intelligence, and international affairs. Reach out to Jake directly.
The train is leaving the station — and the teams winning the next wave of awards are being built right now. Whether you're chasing MAPS, SHIELD task orders, or the DHS surge, the differentiator is execution talent. PTS places the BD, capture, and program professionals who operate at mission speed. Let's talk about where you're building.

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